ODMK CONSENSUS EFFORTS IS A DECOY TO BEAT RAILA IN HIS OWN DELEGATES GAME , Rev Okoth Otura

Sasa hayo nini,

http://www.nationmedia.com/dailynation/nmgcontententry.asp?category_id=2&newsid=101600

The majority of the ODMK Presidential aspirants are former Moi's government cabinet minister, who are well conversant with political gimmicks, and it is an obvious case that the consensus effort is just a decoy to beat Raila in delegates system. Either way Raila will not win the ODMK Presidential nomination.

The actions and activities of Mudavadi, Kalonzo, Rutu and Uhuru is a clear indication that they are more comfortable with Kibaki reelection than Raila. While ODMK council of Elders are playing their cards under the table against Raila with string attach from Moi/Kibaki, who have combined forces to make sure that Raila do not get country top Job, for they fear his international connections, aggressiveness and is ways of shifting alliances, in fact, they do not believe that he will let the past just go.

We witnessed such in 1990's when the same security intelligences and government propaganda machinery tactics were deployed against the late Jaramogi and Matiba in Ford and against Raila and the late Wamalwa in Ford-K, nothing has changed the government system of operations still the same.

The division wedge has been deeply driven between Raila and ODMK consensus efforts backers, the two sides have spent most of last several months wrangling over the election procedural system, similar of the past destructive methodology used by the Moi government against defunct powerful original Ford.

There is possibility that the ODMK council of Elders may deliberately accept the delegates system, with the same mind set and strategy to have Raila face the same group as united front with their existing game plan of sharing power among themselves, Raila will still have no chance to win, with major voting tribal pattern set up with Kambas, Lughya's, Kikuyus and Kalanjins against the minority luos as the assured block votes for Raila, whether he decided to go it a lone to the general election against Kibaki and other candidates, he will still only fetche the 13% luo votes.

Raila must set up new agenda for Luo political destiny, he either get back to co-operate with ruling elites of the day where the late Jaramogi left us or push for the Federalism constitution now.

The luo community is not ready for another decades of opposition politics and political of isolation in Kenya, our patient are running out and we may have to face the reality of our political blunders. Since the death of Jaramogi in 1994, Raila has shifted us to NDP, NEW KANU, LDP, NARC and ODMK, as tactics to get to the top leadership.

I no longer trust that this tactics is the best method to achieve the political power. My understand about the political parties establishments is that they are institutions of political ideologies whose supports pass over to generation to generation not a convenience of winning elections for certain class of political elites as it has been seen in Kenyan politics.

Finally, Raila must get back to the drawing board and set agenda for this coming general election and beyond, with a sober mind, if he fail to attain the country top job, what will be his next move in 2008 ? It will be chaotic for the Luos to be marshaled again to the opposition political corner without Regional type of Government for another 5 years or so. I remain. (unedited)

Rev Okoth Otura,
www.cdmk.org
(Kata mana yiew thieng' bende en ring'o, Says Raila).