| ELECTIONS FOR 2007 BASED ON INTELLIGENCE REPORT BY NISS | ||||||||||||
| PROVINCE | RAILA | % | KIBAKI | % | KALONZO | % | TOTAL | |||||
| RIFT VALLEY | 1,495,000 | 65 | 575,000 | 25 | 230,000 | 10 | 2,300,000 | |||||
| CENTRAL | 0 | 0 | 1,350,000 | 90 | 150,000 | 10 | 1,500,000 | |||||
| EASTERN | 0 | 0 | 693,000 | 45 | 847,000 | 55 | 1,540,000 | |||||
| NAIROBI | 534,800 | 56 | 382,000 | 40 | 38,200 | 4 | 955,000 | |||||
| COAST | 582,400 | 64 | 145,600 | 16 | 182,000 | 20 | 910,000 | |||||
| WESTERN | 582,400 | 52 | 280,000 | 25 | 257,600 | 23 | 1,120,000 | |||||
| NYANZA | 1,204,000 | 86 | 98,000 | 7 | 98,000 | 7 | 1,400,000 | |||||
| NORTH EASTERN | 144,050 | 67 | 43,000 | 20 | 27,950 | 13 | 215,000 | |||||
| TOTAL | 4,542,650 | 3,566,600 | 1,830,750 | 9,940,000 | ||||||||
| RESULTS ANALYSIS | ||||||||||||
| NIO. OF PROVICES WITH AT LEAST 25% OF VOTES CAST | ||||||||||||
| TOTAL VOTES | ||||||||||||
| KIBAKI | 5 | 3,566,600 | ||||||||||
| RAILA | 6 | 4,542,650 | ||||||||||
| KALONZO | 1 | 1,830,750 | ||||||||||
| TOTAL | 9,940,000 | |||||||||||
| CONCLUSION: | RAILA IS LIKELY TO BE THE FOURTH PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF KENYA | |||||||||||
| % INCREASE IN NUMBER OF VOTERS FROM 2002 VOTING PATTERN IS 9,940,000-5,700,000 WHO VOTED | ||||||||||||
| IN 2002 WHICH REPRESENTS 4,240,000 WHICH 43% INCREASE. |