09/052007

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What are ODM's real chances in RValley and Western amidst emerging challenges?

 
I am an avid follower of postings on Jaluo.com and I have found some really thought-provoking and insightful pieces on this forum. Now that the election clock ticks closer, and the captains are already known, I would be delighted to see contributors become more analytical, especially about election-winning chances, and what else ODM needs to do to bring the catch home. In this way, we will also be contributing to the intellectual campaign debates. This forum hosts some of the really inteelectula political lovers of our time and generation.
 
To the forum’s political analysts, what are your views on these?:
 
  1. What are ODM chances in the Kalenjin Rift Valley, in the face of Moi’s endorsement of Kibaki?
  2. Is it true that a section of current RV MPs are unpopular with their electorate and are therefore anti ODM simply because their competitors (aspirants) have already identified with the party?
  3. What are ODM’s chances of galvanizing the 1.5 m votes in Western province, with both Jirongo and Kombo running for presidency?
  4. What tactics can ODM employ to yank the solid Bungoma vote from the wings of Kombo/FordK? I think Bungoma people are not entirely against ODM, but will need a lot of skillful persuasion.
  5. How important is Mutula Kilonzo’s frequent, but belated call for unity among the two ODMs? Is ODM stronger with Kalonzo running on his own, or with him back?
  6. What would be the impact of Kalonzo joining Kibaki
  7. Why is Ngilu procrastinating about her political future?, could she be a  likely victim of the maddening Kalonzo wave in Ukambani?
Wuod Luo
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